Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 105.121971 119.401027 135.134693 153.795078 175.371444 199.592446 228.921502
2026-01-11 83.701151 102.142917 124.148410 152.486424 188.219484 232.052684 290.310172
2026-01-18 72.923994 93.683944 119.920886 155.807772 204.071137 267.374148 357.746953
2026-01-25 64.045675 85.689126 114.321175 155.429598 213.689480 294.432687 416.794222
2026-02-01 57.897635 80.210849 110.914538 156.897381 225.136200 324.449947 483.245218
2026-02-08 51.790222 73.916971 105.409630 154.326508 229.892549 344.704697 537.243957
2026-02-15 47.753941 70.056998 102.810684 155.451058 239.901783 373.562185 608.191901
2026-02-22 44.517779 66.984447 100.947219 157.290109 250.939239 404.984995 687.436831
2026-03-01 40.474278 62.248376 96.000830 153.566683 252.271454 420.266462 740.498450
2026-03-08 37.129600 58.281971 91.849294 150.609333 254.369670 436.796560 797.745746
2026-03-15 34.526266 55.263446 88.920611 149.334714 259.100896 458.293784 867.118989
2026-03-22 33.376652 54.522150 89.659419 154.416875 275.676712 503.268602 989.101261
2026-03-29 31.652350 52.860314 89.015759 157.602515 290.369517 549.045561 1126.040046
2026-04-05 29.333645 49.989649 86.042961 156.286733 296.526672 579.492732 1237.426676
2026-04-12 27.958705 48.643285 85.629086 159.702446 312.406108 631.997035 1408.341867
2026-04-19 26.205182 46.440906 83.413113 159.313850 320.381895 668.876349 1550.114245
2026-04-26 24.867041 44.878885 82.231103 160.822584 332.502573 716.603850 1728.287499
2026-05-03 23.164165 42.476788 79.205500 158.180029 335.182653 743.190268 1857.932172
2026-05-10 22.044976 41.099735 78.052757 159.335918 346.503000 791.794393 2056.896398
2026-05-17 21.095837 39.972549 77.287990 161.226275 359.748079 847.158285 2287.345961
2026-05-24 19.659126 37.754524 74.099822 157.399044 358.883646 866.888093 2418.860052
2026-05-31 18.420113 35.842725 71.386564 154.359453 359.551348 890.716124 2568.418930
2026-06-07 17.437455 34.384439 69.508697 153.049445 364.377120 926.432936 2763.944588